Market size
China Builds Electric Two-Wheelers by the Tens of Millions, Europe and the US by the Million
Unit counts from trade associations and customs data. Market-research growth rates are left out.
| Region | Measure | Year | Units | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Electric two-wheeler output | 2025 | 63.16 million | 2026 China Electric Two-Wheeler Industry White Paper |
| China | E-bike output | 2023 | Over 40 million | China Electronics Standardization Institute |
| China | E-bikes in use | Sep 2025 | About 380 million | China Bicycle Association |
| China | E-bikes traded in under the national trade-in program | 2025 | Over 12.5 million | China Bicycle Association |
| Europe | E-bike sales | 2022 | 5.5 million | CONEBI |
| Europe | E-bike sales | 2023 | 5.1 million | CONEBI |
| EU + UK | E-bike production | 2024 | 3.7 million | CONEBI |
| EU + UK | E-bike imports | 2024 | About 631,000 | CONEBI |
| Germany | E-bike sales | 2025 | About 2.0 million | ZIV |
| Germany | E-bike production in Germany | 2025 | About 1.3 million | ZIV |
| France | E-bike sales | 2024 | 565,225 | Union Sport & Cycle |
| Netherlands | E-bike sales | 2025 | About 391,000 | RAI Vereniging and BOVAG, NielsenIQ data |
| Austria | E-bike sales | 2025 | 222,730 | ARGE Fahrrad and VSSÖ, via Bike Europe |
| UK | E-bike sales | 2024 | About 146,000 | Bicycle Association |
| United States | E-bike imports | 2024 | About 1.5 million (estimate) | Bicycle Market Research, via Bicycle Retailer |
| Japan | Power-assisted bicycles for the domestic market | 2025 | 585,074 | Japan Bicycle Promotion Institute |
European Cycling Industries, the renamed CONEBI, reported 15.618 million bicycles and e-bikes sold in Europe in 2025, down 2.6%, and 10.82 million produced, without a public e-bike split. Its 2026 Bicycle Industry and Market Profile carries the full breakdown for members.
The US has no single customs code for e-bikes. They share HTS 8711.60 with electric motorcycles, and shipments under the former $800 de minimis threshold were missing from the data, so US totals are estimates.
China's figures mix two categories. The 63.16 million counts all electric two-wheelers, including electric mopeds and motorcycles. The 380 million counts e-bikes under the GB 17761 national standard. The White Paper puts the full electric two-wheeler fleet above 450 million.
Adoption by country
E-Bikes Outsell Pedal Bikes in Austria, Germany and Belgium
| Country | E-bike share | Year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 57.3% | 2025 | ARGE Fahrrad and VSSÖ |
| Germany | 53% | 2025 | ZIV |
| Belgium | Over 50% | 2025 | Traxio Velo |
| Netherlands | About 49% | 2025 | RAI Vereniging and BOVAG (391,000 of 795,968) |
| Switzerland | 41% | 2025 | Velosuisse, via Bike Europe |
| France | 29% | 2024 | Union Sport & Cycle |
| Spain | 21% | 2025 | European Cycling Industries |
| Japan | 16% | 2025 | Japan Bicycle Promotion Institute, retail POS sample |
| UK | About 9% | 2024 | Bicycle Association |
| United States | About 12% of imported bikes | 2024 | Derived: 1.5 million e-bikes against 11.1 million pedal bikes imported, Bicycle Retailer |
| China | Not reported as a share | 2025 | China Bicycle Association: 380 million e-bikes in use |
E-bikes earn a larger share of money than of units. In Austria they made up 57% of bikes and 79% of revenue in 2025. In France they made up 29% of units and about 58% of value in 2024. German e-bikes averaged about €2,550 in 2025, against about €500 for a pedal bike.
Belgium leads in fast commuter e-bikes: 23,681 speed pedelecs were registered in 2025, a record, and about 62% of new ones came through employer leasing, according to Traxio. In China, e-bikes under GB 17761 are the everyday commuter vehicle in most cities, limited to 25 km/h.
Teens and commuters
US States and School Districts Are Setting Age Limits for E-Bikes
Teenagers riding to school drove the first wave of US e-bike rules aimed at minors.
| Place | Rule | Date | What it does |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey | S4834, signed by Gov. Phil Murphy | Jan 19, 2026 | Ends the three-class system; e-bikes need registration, insurance and a license; no riders under 15; six-month grace period for existing owners |
| Marin County, California | AB 1778 pilot and matching county and city ordinances | Fall 2025 | No one under 16 may ride a Class 2 throttle e-bike anywhere in the county; helmets required |
| Newport-Mesa Unified, California | Board policy | Aug 2026 | E-bikes, e-scooters and boards banned at K-8 campuses; high school riders need a state safety class, shown by a sticker on the bike |
| Orange County Public Schools, Florida | School board vote | Jul 28, 2026 | E-bikes and e-scooters banned at elementary and middle schools, phased in over the first month of the school year; students with a driver's permit exempt |
Marin County Public Health reported that the e-bike crash rate for residents aged 10 to 15 fell from 16.25 to 11.65 per 10,000 between July 2024 and June 2026, still nearly four times the rate for other ages. The county and the Transportation Authority of Marin run an E-Bikers Club for middle and high school students and parents.
In California, Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan's office cited state traffic records showing e-bike injuries rose about 18-fold from 2018 to 2023.
Supply chain
Asia Makes the Cells and Most Frames, Europe Assembles and Builds Premium Motors
| Part | Main makers | Where |
|---|---|---|
| Mid-drive motors | Bosch (Performance Line CX), Shimano (EP801), Yamaha (PW-X3), DJI (Avinox), Bafang, Ananda | Germany, Japan, China |
| Hub motors | Bafang, Ananda and other Chinese makers | China |
| Lithium-ion cells | Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, Panasonic, Molicel (E-One Moli), EVE Energy, BAK | South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, China |
| Frames | Giant, Merida and contract welders | Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Cambodia |
| Final assembly | German, Dutch, Czech and Portuguese plants; Giant and Merida in Taiwan; contract plants in Vietnam and Cambodia | EU, Taiwan, Southeast Asia |
Germany built about 1.3 million e-bikes at home in 2025 and imported 780,000, nearly three quarters from other EU countries. The Czech Republic supplied 18% of those imports, the Netherlands 12% and Vietnam 12%, per ZIV. German exports reached a record 650,000.
The 2021-22 shortage came from pandemic demand meeting closed factories, container shipping delays and long lead times for drive units and components. Brands ordered heavily to catch up, and the stock landed in 2023 as demand fell. Europe's e-bike sales slipped from 5.5 million in 2022 to 5.1 million in 2023, and EU+UK e-bike production fell 19% to 3.7 million in 2024, down from about 5.4 million at the 2022 peak. Discounting followed; ZIV cited clearance sales for a 3.8% drop in the average German e-bike price in 2025.
Giant, the largest Taiwanese maker, saw e-bike sales fall from about 800,000 in 2022 to about 480,000 in 2024.
| Brand | Home | Event | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| VanMoof | Netherlands | Bankrupt, July 2023 | Bought by Lavoie, a McLaren Applied company |
| Cake | Sweden | Bankrupt, February 2024 | Production stopped |
| Cowboy | Belgium | Near insolvency, 2025 | Rebirth took 80% for €15 million, October 2025 |
| Rad Power Bikes | United States | Chapter 11, December 2025, after a CPSC battery fire warning; the company said it could not afford a recall | Sold to Life Electric Vehicles Holdings for $13.28 million, early 2026; Retrospec was backup bidder |
Trade and tariffs
EU and US Duties on Chinese E-Bikes Moved Assembly Elsewhere
| Market | Measure | Since | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| European Union | Anti-dumping duty, Regulation (EU) 2019/73, extended by 2025/120 | Jan 2019, extended Jan 2025 for five years | 10.3% to 70.1% |
| European Union | Countervailing duty, Regulation (EU) 2019/72, extended by 2025/114 | Jan 2019, extended Jan 2025 for five years | 3.9% to 17.2% |
| United States | Section 301, exclusion for Chinese e-bikes allowed to expire | Jun 14, 2024 | 25% added |
| United States | IEEPA duties on China | 2025 | Struck down by the Supreme Court in Learning Resources v. Trump, Feb 2026 |
| United States | Section 122 duty on nearly all imports | Feb 24, 2026 | 10%, replaced Jul 23, 2026 |
| United States | New Section 301 duties on most trading partners | Jul 23, 2026 | 10% or 12.5% by country |
The European Commission says the EU e-bike industry directly employs 12,000 people. Giant's plant in Kunshan, China, pays a 9.9% anti-dumping and 3.9% countervailing duty to ship into the EU, so Giant and other makers supply Europe from Taiwan and from EU plants.
US buyers moved orders to Southeast Asia. In the first half of 2025, Cambodia passed China as the largest supplier of complete pedal bikes to the US by value, at $132 million, while imports from China fell 42%. Vietnam is a larger e-bike exporter than its customs figures show; Tern builds many of its e-cargo bikes there.
Taiwan ships fewer, pricier e-bikes. It exported 190,000 e-bikes to the EU in 2024, down 53%, and 98,000 to the US, at an average export price of $1,848, per Taiwan Ministry of Finance customs data and the Taiwan Bicycle Association. In January to April 2025, Taiwan's e-bike export value rose 0.26% to $236 million, its first gain since the pandemic, and component exports rose 5.92% to $437 million.
Outlook
Forecasters See Flat Volumes in Europe and Replacement Demand in China
- ZIV says the German market has stabilized at a high level after three years of e-bikes holding about half of unit sales, and is targeting women and children as new buyers.
- The 2026 China Electric Two-Wheeler Industry White Paper says China has moved from fleet growth to replacement-driven sales. Output fell 13.5% in January to April 2026 after the GB 17761-2024 standard took effect on September 1, 2025, and sales of old-standard e-bikes ended on December 1, 2025.
- The China Bicycle Association expected output of new-standard e-bikes to reach 7.55 million by the end of the first quarter of 2026, with 276 certified models on sale in January.
- Cycling Industries Europe, CONEBI and the European Cyclists' Federation forecast in 2020 that Europe would sell 17 million e-bikes a year by 2030. Actual sales were 5.1 million in 2023.
- Union Sport & Cycle linked France's 16% drop in e-bike sales in 2025 to the end of purchase subsidies.
- Rebirth plans for Cowboy to break even in 2027 on €40 million in revenue.
Record
Sources
- Europe
- CONEBI, European Bicycle Industry and Market Profile 2024 (2023 data) and 2025 (2024 data); European Cycling Industries, 2026 Bicycle Industry and Market Profile, via Bikebiz and Híbridos y Eléctricos
- Germany
- ZIV, VSF and Zukunft Fahrrad, 2025 market data, March 2026
- Netherlands
- RAI Vereniging and BOVAG, NielsenIQ market study, via Bike Europe, June 2026
- Austria, Switzerland, Belgium
- ARGE Fahrrad and VSSÖ via Leadersnet and Bike Europe; Velosuisse via Bike Europe; Traxio Velo via newmobility.news, March 2026
- France
- Union Sport & Cycle, Observatoire du Cycle 2024 and 2025
- UK
- Bicycle Association, Market Data Annual Report 2024, via road.cc
- United States
- Bicycle Retailer: e-bike import estimate by Bicycle Market Research (Feb 2025), Section 301 exclusion expiry (May 2024), first-half 2025 imports (Aug 2025), Section 301 duties (Jul 2026), Rad Power Bikes sale (Jan 2026)
- US tariffs
- Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, US Supreme Court, 2026, via Bikebiz
- Japan
- Japan Bicycle Promotion Institute, domestic bicycle production and import statistics and POS sales statistics, 2025
- China
- China Bicycle Association via Xinhua, January and May 2026; China Electronics Standardization Institute via Jiemian; 2026 China Electric Two-Wheeler Industry White Paper (Aowei Cloud Network), via IT之家; GB 17761-2024
- Taiwan
- Taiwan Ministry of Finance customs data and Taiwan Bicycle Association, via Germany Trade & Invest, April 2025; TAITRA, May 2025
- EU duties
- European Commission, EU extends duties on electric bicycles from China, January 24, 2025; Implementing Regulations (EU) 2025/114 and 2025/120
- Youth rules
- New Jersey Monitor, January 19, 2026; Marin County news release, August 11, 2026; EdSource, August 27, 2026; Spectrum News 13, July 28, 2026; KTLA, April 22, 2026
- Companies
- Cowboy and Rebirth via Techleap, October 2025; Giant annual report via Germany Trade & Invest
- Last verified
- Q4 2026